My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

Are the bulls running or are the bears coming?  Any business media you pick up is harping on the idea of a “recession watch” and the economy is basically coming to an end!  On the flip side my proprietary lending data is giving me a radically different answer.  What...
Does the stock market predict real estate prices?

Does the stock market predict real estate prices?

  For years, myself, and many others have thought that interest rates were the predictor of housing prices.  Fast forward to post COVID where interest rates have doubled and yet housing prices remain high and are still trending higher in many markets. What other...
Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Even with falling interest rates, inventory has quickly increased. We have gone from a supposed shortage of housing to an inventory surplus in many hot markets.  Home sales in July were at the lowest recorded level.  What is driving the increase in inventory?  Will...
Buy vs rent: 70% more expensive. What About Real Estate Prices?

Buy vs rent: 70% more expensive. What About Real Estate Prices?

  There is a huge premium to buying a property compared to renting.  It is now 70% more expensive to buy vs rent a property, which is considerably higher than at any time in the last fifty years.  What is causing the large divergence in renting vs buying?  What...
Buy vs rent: 70% more expensive. What About Real Estate Prices?

70 Percent more expensive to buy vs rent.  What does this mean for real estate prices?

There is a huge premium to buying a property compared to renting.  It is now 70% more expensive to buy vs rent a property, which is considerably higher than at any time in the last fifty years.  What is causing the large divergence in renting vs buying?  What does...