Global Real Estate Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: survive until 25

Global Real Estate Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: survive until 25

  The bank mantra over the last 3 years has been survive until 2025.  2025 is when bankers were predicting a sharp decline in rates that would ultimately bail out the beleaguered commercial property market.  Here we are at the dawn of 2025 and 10 year treasuries and...
A hidden crisis in US Housing; are fish the root cause?

A hidden crisis in US Housing; are fish the root cause?

  I took the pic above of a house after a small fire in CO.  I’m amazed the house had made it.  Unfortunately thousands of property owners in LA are not as lucky.  The recent fires in LA are estimated to cost upwards of 50 billion making it one of the costliest...
Will Mortgage rates stay higher forever?

Will Mortgage rates stay higher forever?

  Wow, 2024 was definitely a surprise, at the beginning of the year, there were huge predictions of a rapid decline in rates, fast forward to 2025 and now rates are actually rapidly increasing even after the federal reserve cut short term rates.  Why are rates...
The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

  Fannie Mae, one of the largest buyers of residential mortgages has some profound predictions.  Will house prices continue their upward trend through 2030? How accurate are the predictions below?  How can house prices continue in such a linear fashion?  Will...
Airbnb down 40% impact on real estate

Airbnb down 40% impact on real estate

    After peaking around 215 dollars, Airbnb stock has taken a tumble of almost 40%.  At the same time occupancy of nightly rentals has plummeted from its peak while available listings continue to grow.  What does this mean for real estate prices?  The two...
Year of the Bear, are you ready for 2023 and a 20% decline, what happens to interest rates, economy, etc…   

Year of the Bear, are you ready for 2023 and a 20% decline, what happens to interest rates, economy, etc…   

Since Covid it seems like traditional patterns have been broken.  I hear time and time again that X or Y is different and there have been fundamental changes. Is this true, is everything “radically” different now?  Is a bear walking around in the snow a sign (zoom in...