My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

Are the bulls running or are the bears coming?  Any business media you pick up is harping on the idea of a “recession watch” and the economy is basically coming to an end!  On the flip side my proprietary lending data is giving me a radically different answer.  What...
Does the stock market predict real estate prices?

Does the stock market predict real estate prices?

  For years, myself, and many others have thought that interest rates were the predictor of housing prices.  Fast forward to post COVID where interest rates have doubled and yet housing prices remain high and are still trending higher in many markets. What other...
The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

  Fannie Mae, one of the largest buyers of residential mortgages has some profound predictions.  Will house prices continue their upward trend through 2030? How accurate are the predictions below?  How can house prices continue in such a linear fashion?  Will...
Will mortgage rates drop anymore in 24, how about 2025?

Will mortgage rates drop anymore in 24, how about 2025?

  When I was writing this article mortgage rates were hovering right around 7%.  At the same time economists had been predicting a sharp decline in mortgage rates and a booming 2024 real estate market as the fed has cut rates.  On the other hand, the chart above...
Big real estate rebound for 2025?

Big real estate rebound for 2025?

The chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, Lawrence Yun, has released his 2025 and 2026 predictions for residential real estate and they were a huge surprise.  What is Yun predicting for real estate prices, interest rates, and appreciation?  How...
Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

With the realtor settlement now implemented nationwide, the question now is will a reduction in realtor fees lower house prices?  The big premise of the commission lawsuit against the national association of realtors is that high commission fees were one of the...