My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

Are the bulls running or are the bears coming?  Any business media you pick up is harping on the idea of a “recession watch” and the economy is basically coming to an end!  On the flip side my proprietary lending data is giving me a radically different answer.  What...
The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

  Fannie Mae, one of the largest buyers of residential mortgages has some profound predictions.  Will house prices continue their upward trend through 2030? How accurate are the predictions below?  How can house prices continue in such a linear fashion?  Will...
Year of the elk, are you ready

Year of the elk, are you ready

The above is a picture of my windshield after a chance early morning encounter with an elk; I walked away while my car was basically totaled.  Why is 2025 the year of the elk as elk should typically be the least of your worries?   What does this mean for the upcoming...
Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Even with falling interest rates, inventory has quickly increased. We have gone from a supposed shortage of housing to an inventory surplus in many hot markets.  Home sales in July were at the lowest recorded level.  What is driving the increase in inventory?  Will...
What city is now banning Airbnb? Do nightly rentals drive up rents?

What city is now banning Airbnb? Do nightly rentals drive up rents?

Over the years there have been a lot of theories that nightly rentals are increasing long term rents of full-time residents. Recently NY analyzed nightly rentals in various boroughs to calculate the increase in lease rates. This is the first real study I have seen on...
Federal government now considers $1.2m low/moderate income housing

Federal government now considers $1.2m low/moderate income housing

What do the increased conforming loan limits mean for real estate? The federal government (aka you the taxpayer) now backs mortgages up to 1.15m. The maximum size of home-mortgage loans eligible for backing by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has jumped sharply over the...