The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

The largest buyer of mortgages predicts big changes to house prices

  Fannie Mae, one of the largest buyers of residential mortgages has some profound predictions.  Will house prices continue their upward trend through 2030? How accurate are the predictions below?  How can house prices continue in such a linear fashion?  Will...
Is inflation now driving housing prices higher?

Is inflation now driving housing prices higher?

The conventional wisdom is that inflation causes higher interest rates which in turn causes lower housing prices.  We are now seeing an interesting phenomenon where housing prices continue to stay high and in some markets head even higher with interest rates double...
Fed cuts rates half percentage, Why did mortgage rates rise?

Fed cuts rates half percentage, Why did mortgage rates rise?

The market was anticipating a much smaller cut by the federal reserve as inflation is still high and employment and spending is holding up.  The odds were about 75% for a smaller cut, but the federal reserve definitely surprised with a much larger cut of half a...
Shortage of homes will keep prices high… think again; Is there really even a shortage?

Shortage of homes will keep prices high… think again; Is there really even a shortage?

I just saw an article on CNBC with the headline: America is short 5 million houses.  The media is proclaiming a housing crisis throughout the country due to the shortage.  Ironically at the same time the US has hit a record for the slowest population growth in the...
Warning sign? sales drop 34%, impact on real estate

Warning sign? sales drop 34%, impact on real estate

The economy is currently in a “transition” phase.  To determine if the sun is setting on our current cycle, it is critical to watch for leading indicators of where we might be heading.  One of the strongest predictors of a recession is consumer purchases of one...
Will mortgage rates fall significantly in 2024?

Will mortgage rates fall significantly in 2024?

When I was writing this article mortgage rates were hovering right around 7%.  At the same time economists are predicting a sharp decline in mortgage rates and a booming 2024 real estate market.  On the other hand, the chart above shows a much different picture. ...