2023 real estate predictions: Mortgage rates come off their highs. Does a recession happen in 23?

2023 real estate predictions: Mortgage rates come off their highs. Does a recession happen in 23?

I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season.  Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2023 and beyond: Interest rates, inflation, and consumer sentiment. All three are...
National Association of Realtors predicts rising prices in 2023; fed predicts drop

National Association of Realtors predicts rising prices in 2023; fed predicts drop

In 2023, NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun expects home sales to decline by 7%, while the national median home price will increase by 1% in his recent 2023 market update.  On the flip side the most recent federal reserve economic commentary classifies the current...
Will the golden handcuffs of low rates save real estate in this cycle?

Will the golden handcuffs of low rates save real estate in this cycle?

The prevailing theory is that this real estate cycle will be considerably better than others as so many people locked in rock bottom rates which will serve as “golden handcuffs” and prevent a meaningful increase in inventory.  How accurate is this theory?  What is the...
Prices fall 6%, closings slip to lowest since 2015, what does this mean for 22-23?

Prices fall 6%, closings slip to lowest since 2015, what does this mean for 22-23?

  Home values slipped for the second consecutive month as mortgage costs continue to sideline buyers.  From June through August, prices usually decline about 2%, but this year they have fallen about 6%.  At the same time, mortgage rates hit highs of around 6.4%. ...
Back to office, ready to pick your seat? 3 traits that will identify the winners & losers

Back to office, ready to pick your seat? 3 traits that will identify the winners & losers

First, the pic above was the leading picture for a listing I looked at.  I guess they were stressing the work from home conveniences in the office Unfortunately this could lead to some “interesting” conversations with coworkers.   With the back to office trend in full...
Haircut prices surge, what does this mean for real estate prices?

Haircut prices surge, what does this mean for real estate prices?

If you haven’t gotten a haircut in a while, you are in for a surprise.  Haircut prices like many other services in the economy are experiencing large increases.  What does the increase in haircut prices mean for the economy and in turn real estate?  Why are haircuts...