Home Depot slides, house prices stabilize, consumers will keep spending

Home Depot slides, house prices stabilize, consumers will keep spending

  Interesting times we are in.  Consumers keep spending big on services like travel and eating out, but on the flip side Home Depot just reported its first drop since the pandemic.  On the other hand Target tops earnings estimates.  What is driving the continued...
Real Estate Market continues outperforming, what time period are we beginning to resemble?

Real Estate Market continues outperforming, what time period are we beginning to resemble?

  Although the spring real estate market has slowed drastically from the pandemic days, the bottom has not fallen out.  Quite the opposite has occurred, in suburban markets and sunbelt cities, real estate keeps charging higher.  A good example is Boulder, CO, a...
Inflation remains sticky, will interest rates remain high, can the fed achieve a soft landing?

Inflation remains sticky, will interest rates remain high, can the fed achieve a soft landing?

Inflation continues to stick around with core CPI running near record highs.   This will keep the federal reserve on a likely path to hike rates once again in May.  What does this mean for interest rates and real estate?  What happens when interest rates finally...
60k laid off, The middle is squeezed how will this impact Real estate and the recovery

60k laid off, The middle is squeezed how will this impact Real estate and the recovery

Purchasing power from paychecks fell 2.9% for middle-income households in 2022 compared with 2021, while rising 1.5% for the bottom fifth of households and 1.1% for the top, according to the Congressional Budget Office study.  Furthermore, nearly 40 percent of...
Mortgage demand plunges 13.2% to end 2022, are higher interest rates the only culprit

Mortgage demand plunges 13.2% to end 2022, are higher interest rates the only culprit

  The market currently has a fixation on interest rates.  Essentially whatever interest rates do the market reacts accordingly.  For example if rates rise, sales fall and vice versa.  Are rates really the driver of the slow down in real estate sales?  If rates...
Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

I rarely say that Covid caused radical changes in behavior but the commercial property sector is bucking this trend.  This is not because of return to office or lack thereof, but leverage and the central bank.  In every cycle in recent memory as the economy started to...