My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

My recession indicator flashing green: ready for bulls or bears

Are the bulls running or are the bears coming?  Any business media you pick up is harping on the idea of a “recession watch” and the economy is basically coming to an end!  On the flip side my proprietary lending data is giving me a radically different answer.  What...
What do Tariffs mean for real estate and interest rates

What do Tariffs mean for real estate and interest rates

  70% of lumber and 30% of drywall comes from Canada which could be subject to tariffs, what does this mean for the average build cost of a house?  What does the chart above have to do with Tariffs?  Will tariffs meaningfully impact real estate build costs and...
Big real estate rebound for 2025?

Big real estate rebound for 2025?

The chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, Lawrence Yun, has released his 2025 and 2026 predictions for residential real estate and they were a huge surprise.  What is Yun predicting for real estate prices, interest rates, and appreciation?  How...
Does the Trump election matter for Real estate; Homes sales lowest since 95

Does the Trump election matter for Real estate; Homes sales lowest since 95

Regardless of how you voted, at the end of the day for real estate in particular, does the election of President Trump radically change the trajectory of real estate?  What happens to real estate volumes?  Will interest rates rise or fall?  What happens to values? Why...
Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Even with falling interest rates, inventory has quickly increased. We have gone from a supposed shortage of housing to an inventory surplus in many hot markets.  Home sales in July were at the lowest recorded level.  What is driving the increase in inventory?  Will...
Amazon Back to office five days a week, ready to pick your seat?

Amazon Back to office five days a week, ready to pick your seat?

Amazon now requires all employees to be in the office 5 days a week (hopefully you don’t get the office above) What does the five days return to office mean for real estate? The pic above was the leading picture for a listing I looked at.  I guess they were...