Harder for Borrowers to Secure a Loan in February, Credit Availability Hits record low

Harder for Borrowers to Secure a Loan in February, Credit Availability Hits record low

As a private lender, my call volume and closings the first quarter have been off the charts as borrowers fall out of more conventional products.  This trend is now playing out with the Mortgage Credit Availability Index showing substantial tightening of credit for all...
Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

I rarely say that Covid caused radical changes in behavior but the commercial property sector is bucking this trend.  This is not because of return to office or lack thereof, but leverage and the central bank.  In every cycle in recent memory as the economy started to...
Commercial property prices slide 13% from peak, biggest since 08, where do prices go from here?

Commercial property prices slide 13% from peak, biggest since 08, where do prices go from here?

US commercial real estate prices have plunged 13% from a peak this year, the biggest drop since the global financial crisis of 2008.  What is causing the decline in commercial property prices.  Is this a blip or will the slide in commercial property prices worsen in...
Inflation continues hot, 100% chance of recession in 12 months, what can past cycles tell us about real estate now and in the future?

Inflation continues hot, 100% chance of recession in 12 months, what can past cycles tell us about real estate now and in the future?

There is pretty much a universal theme that there will be a recession in the future.  It is like saying that it might rain sometime in the next month.  It doesn’t help you much without knowing approximately when it will rain and if it will be a light sprinkle or turn...
Back to office, ready to pick your seat? 3 traits that will identify the winners & losers

Back to office, ready to pick your seat? 3 traits that will identify the winners & losers

First, the pic above was the leading picture for a listing I looked at.  I guess they were stressing the work from home conveniences in the office Unfortunately this could lead to some “interesting” conversations with coworkers.   With the back to office trend in full...
Trucking hits the Brakes; what does this mean for real estate?

Trucking hits the Brakes; what does this mean for real estate?

There has been an unexpectedly sharp downturn in demand to truck everything from food to furniture since the beginning of March and rates in the overheated segment that deals in on-demand trucking jobs – known as the spot market – are skidding.  Why are...