Harder for Borrowers to Secure a Loan in February, Credit Availability Hits record low

Harder for Borrowers to Secure a Loan in February, Credit Availability Hits record low

As a private lender, my call volume and closings the first quarter have been off the charts as borrowers fall out of more conventional products.  This trend is now playing out with the Mortgage Credit Availability Index showing substantial tightening of credit for all...
Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

I rarely say that Covid caused radical changes in behavior but the commercial property sector is bucking this trend.  This is not because of return to office or lack thereof, but leverage and the central bank.  In every cycle in recent memory as the economy started to...
Commercial property prices slide 13% from peak, biggest since 08, where do prices go from here?

Commercial property prices slide 13% from peak, biggest since 08, where do prices go from here?

US commercial real estate prices have plunged 13% from a peak this year, the biggest drop since the global financial crisis of 2008.  What is causing the decline in commercial property prices.  Is this a blip or will the slide in commercial property prices worsen in...
National Association of Realtors predicts rising prices in 2023; fed predicts drop

National Association of Realtors predicts rising prices in 2023; fed predicts drop

In 2023, NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun expects home sales to decline by 7%, while the national median home price will increase by 1% in his recent 2023 market update.  On the flip side the most recent federal reserve economic commentary classifies the current...
Consumer debt soars to the highest on record, why is this good and bad news for real estate

Consumer debt soars to the highest on record, why is this good and bad news for real estate

The federal reserve bank of NY recently published a report showing consumer debt jumping to the highest levels ever recorded with every category growing from mortgages, autos, credit cards, lines of credit, etc…  Is some consumer debt better/worse than others for the...
Do the bears foretell a market crash or a minor correction?

Do the bears foretell a market crash or a minor correction?

When I looked over my shoulder and saw these two fellows staring at me, it made me wonder if they were trying to tell me something.  I definitely got the hint!  I don’t think anyone would debate that real estate is now entering a bear market.  The million dollar...