What does higher for longer rates mean for real estate?

What does higher for longer rates mean for real estate?

  Wow, what a year.  In December the market was anticipating as many as 4 rate cuts this year. At the same time the federal reserve was doing a victory dance on pulling of a soft landing.  Fast forward and inflation is still hot and there is now a question of if...
Economy not as solid as headline numbers suggest

Economy not as solid as headline numbers suggest

It is interesting that the market continues to focus on interest rates and employment as the barometer for the economy while totally ignoring one metric.  As a lender I just did an analysis on our portfolio and one metric jumped off (chart above is my portfolio).  In...
Car loan defaults rise what does this mean for real estate

Car loan defaults rise what does this mean for real estate

According to everything I’ve read, the economy is humming along.  Economic growth is good, the labor market is healthy, and a soft landing is  all but inevitable.  At the same time lenders are acting polar opposite of what we should expect.  Why are lenders all the...
Senate calls for Fed to lower rates; will the fed oblige?

Senate calls for Fed to lower rates; will the fed oblige?

  The market currently has a fixation on interest rates.  Senators are now jumping on the bandwagon pushing the federal reserve to “immediately” cut rates to help the real estate market and affordability.  Unfortunately, the senators do not fully grasp how...
Clearest sign yet commercial real estate is in big trouble

Clearest sign yet commercial real estate is in big trouble

Foreclosures are surging in a risky corner of commercial real-estate finance, offering one of the most profound signs yet that turmoil in the commercial property market is just beginning.  Lenders this year have issued a record number of foreclosure notices for...
Is inflation really coming down?

Is inflation really coming down?

We have heard a ton of good news recently regarding inflation.  Inflation has come down dramatically from its peak and the market is pricing in almost a 100% probability of an elusive soft landing.   Is inflation really coming down as fast as the consumer price index...