Pretend and extend, will commercial real estate take down the economy in 25?

Pretend and extend, will commercial real estate take down the economy in 25?

There is a mantra being used in small/regional banks that is “survive until 2025”.  In essence the theory is that rates will drop precipitously and basically “bail out” many banks’ portfolios.  Banks are in turn pushing out maturity dates hoping for a market bail out....
Does the Trump election matter for Real estate; Homes sales lowest since 95

Does the Trump election matter for Real estate; Homes sales lowest since 95

Regardless of how you voted, at the end of the day for real estate in particular, does the election of President Trump radically change the trajectory of real estate?  What happens to real estate volumes?  Will interest rates rise or fall?  What happens to values? Why...
Phantom debt soars, what does this mean for real estate?

Phantom debt soars, what does this mean for real estate?

Consumer spending in the world’s largest economy has been so resilient in the face of stubbornly high inflation that economists and traders have had to repeatedly rip up their forecasts for slowing growth and interest-rate cuts.  Is Phantom Debt driving consumer...
Fed cuts rates half percentage, Why did mortgage rates rise?

Fed cuts rates half percentage, Why did mortgage rates rise?

The market was anticipating a much smaller cut by the federal reserve as inflation is still high and employment and spending is holding up.  The odds were about 75% for a smaller cut, but the federal reserve definitely surprised with a much larger cut of half a...
Shortage of homes will keep prices high… think again; Is there really even a shortage?

Shortage of homes will keep prices high… think again; Is there really even a shortage?

I just saw an article on CNBC with the headline: America is short 5 million houses.  The media is proclaiming a housing crisis throughout the country due to the shortage.  Ironically at the same time the US has hit a record for the slowest population growth in the...
House prices hit another record, what is now driving house prices?

House prices hit another record, what is now driving house prices?

It is astonishing that house prices continue higher in the face of high interest rates and a slowing economy.  The media keeps pinning the continued appreciation on lack of supply even while listings in places like Denver have jumped 33% year over year.  What is...