Commercial real estate falls first time since 2011; what is causing the decline?

Commercial real estate falls first time since 2011; what is causing the decline?

US commercial real estate prices fell in the first quarter for the first time in more than a decade, according to Moody’s Analytics, heightening the risk of more financial stress in the banking industry.  What property types are declining? (hint not just office...
2023 real estate predictions update: Mortgage rates decline, banks fail, impact on real estate prices

2023 real estate predictions update: Mortgage rates decline, banks fail, impact on real estate prices

A lot has changed since my year end update, four major banks have collapsed, and the market is now signaling a recession with interest rates beginning to fall.  What does this mean for real estate in the second half of the year?  Are there any big changes to my...
Real Estate Market continues outperforming, what time period are we beginning to resemble?

Real Estate Market continues outperforming, what time period are we beginning to resemble?

  Although the spring real estate market has slowed drastically from the pandemic days, the bottom has not fallen out.  Quite the opposite has occurred, in suburban markets and sunbelt cities, real estate keeps charging higher.  A good example is Boulder, CO, a...
64% living paycheck to paycheck; what is the real estate impact?

64% living paycheck to paycheck; what is the real estate impact?

  The share of Americans who say they live paycheck-to-paycheck climbed last year, and most of the new arrivals in that category were among the country’s higher earners (greater than 100k), a new study shows.  Furthermore 24% had issues paying their bills in...
US bank lending slumps by most on record; The fed now predicts a big change

US bank lending slumps by most on record; The fed now predicts a big change

US bank lending contracted by the most on record in the last two weeks of March, indicating a tightening of credit conditions in the wake of several high-profile bank collapses.  Why the sharp pullback in lending?  What does this mean for commercial and residential...
Inflation remains sticky, will interest rates remain high, can the fed achieve a soft landing?

Inflation remains sticky, will interest rates remain high, can the fed achieve a soft landing?

Inflation continues to stick around with core CPI running near record highs.   This will keep the federal reserve on a likely path to hike rates once again in May.  What does this mean for interest rates and real estate?  What happens when interest rates finally...