2023 real estate predictions: Mortgage rates come off their highs. Does a recession happen in 23?

2023 real estate predictions: Mortgage rates come off their highs. Does a recession happen in 23?

I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season.  Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2023 and beyond: Interest rates, inflation, and consumer sentiment. All three are...
Will the golden handcuffs of low rates save real estate in this cycle?

Will the golden handcuffs of low rates save real estate in this cycle?

The prevailing theory is that this real estate cycle will be considerably better than others as so many people locked in rock bottom rates which will serve as “golden handcuffs” and prevent a meaningful increase in inventory.  How accurate is this theory?  What is the...
Fannie-Mae-sees-dark-days-ahead-for-the-housing-market;

Fannie-Mae-sees-dark-days-ahead-for-the-housing-market;

It will get much worse for the housing market and the mortgage industry. That’s the takeaway from a group of economists at Fannie Mae who slashed their forecast for 2022 home sales this week. Federal Reserve chairman Powell recently threw even more cold water on their...
Prices fall 6%, closings slip to lowest since 2015, what does this mean for 22-23?

Prices fall 6%, closings slip to lowest since 2015, what does this mean for 22-23?

  Home values slipped for the second consecutive month as mortgage costs continue to sideline buyers.  From June through August, prices usually decline about 2%, but this year they have fallen about 6%.  At the same time, mortgage rates hit highs of around 6.4%. ...
Where is inflation heading and why? What does this mean for real estate?

Where is inflation heading and why? What does this mean for real estate?

Once again, the recent CPI report came in much higher than expected.  Why did the market drastically miss this prediction?  I’m not even an economist and figured out months ago inflation would be higher for longer as everything I buy from groceries, dining out,...
Blackstone halts purchases in 38 cities, Ibuyers slam on the brakes

Blackstone halts purchases in 38 cities, Ibuyers slam on the brakes

Wow, what a difference a few months makes.  Earlier in the summer, basically any property with 4 walls had multiple offers and prices were on a tear.  Fast Forward a few months and Blackstone, one of the largest buyers of residential rental homes, is pausing...