Fannie Mae, the largest buyer of mortgages in the US, just made some bold predictions about not only housing, but an upcoming recession. Their new predictions are a rapid departure from just a few months ago. What does Fannie Mae predict for the economy and housing?...
Hard Money Blog
Real estate has reached an inflection point, 3 indicators that the peak has passed
As mortgage rates have easily breached 5% (last I checked they were at 5.25%), there is a drastic change in real estate that is just beginning to rear its head. At the same time inventory is starting to increase and loan volumes have plummeted. What is the big...
Interest rates soar; property prices continue to rise; Game of Musical chairs has stopped
The average time someone spends in a home has increased from 8.7 years in 2010 to over 13 years in 2020; a whopping 50% increase. How is this impacting house prices? What caused the “break” in the game of musical chairs leading to the inventory shortage? How are...
Fannie/Freddie no longer fund 2nd mortgages; Big changes to mortgage fees on borrowers
The federal housing finance agency (FHFA), the largest buyer of mortgages through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (Fannie/Freddie), announced huge changes to there fee structure. In particular they are targeting high cost loans with big jumps for second...
Used car prices predicted to drop 30%, when? Impact on economy and real estate
Who would have ever thought that used car prices would increase? A 10 year old car has appreciated 94% since the pandemic supply chain woes occurred. Unfortunately, what goes up will come down. When will the used car bubble pop? Why is the outcome of the auto...
Mortgage rates hit records, refi drops 60%, sales decline, 25% drop predicted
The swiftness of the changes in the real estate market are astonishing, yet not unexpected. I predicted last year mortgage rates would top 5% and they already have come close. This has led to a 60% drop in refinances and a sharp reduction in sales. What do these...
Shortage of homes will keep prices high… think again; Is there really a shortage?
I just saw an article on CNBC with the headline: America is short 5 million houses and the media is proclaiming a housing crisis throughout the country due to a historic shortage. Ironically at the same time the US has hit a record for the slowest population growth...
Zillow’s predictions in 2022 show house price surge of 25%, how accurate are there predictions?
According to Zillow, house prices will continue to skyrocket in 2022 with hot markets posting gains of 25% plus. What factors are driving these predictions? How accurate are Zillow's 2022 predictions for appreciation? How does Zillow’s estimates compare with the...
Buy now pay later included on credit reports, impact on real estate financing
Buy now pay later included on credit reports, impact on real estate financing Buy now Pay Later loans are a million-dollar industry and yet until now these loans were invisible to lenders. This is all changing as Equifax is now adding buy now pay later payments to...
Redfin plunges 26% in one day and foreshadows 4 trends shaping the 2022 and beyond real estate market.
Redfin plunges 26% in one day and foreshadows 4 trends shaping the 2022 and beyond real estate market. Redfin, the darling of the real estate market the last several years has plunged 45% over the last year. At the same time numerous analysists are downgrading the...
Ukraine invaded; impact on the economy, interest rates, and real estate
Initially when Ukraine was invaded the stock market dropped precipitously over 800 points during the day only to make a huge rebound into positive territory. What does this volatility mean for interest rates and in turn real estate? Does the invasion change the path...
Housing party coming to an end, what does this mean for values; the bears have awoken
Gary Shilling, the author of the Case-Shilling real estate index, accurately predicted the last real estate bust. He has come out with recent predictions that throw a cold towel on how this housing cycle ends. Are we at a bear market or a peak in real estate? Where...
Inflation roars to highest since 1982, mortgage rates jump above 4%, what does this mean for real estate
Inflation plowed ahead at its fastest 12-month pace in nearly 40 years during January and substantially higher than any estimates according to a closely watched gauge the Labor Department released Thursday (CPI). The stock and bond markets are continuing to awaken,...
83% of investors are worried about two items that will impact real estate
Wall Street investors believe inflation will remain a major roadblock for the markets in 2022 and stocks will only see muted returns, according to the new CNBC Delivering Alpha investor survey. What does this mean for interest rates and in turn real estate? What was...
NY and Boise real estate both hitting records, is a ???? brewing
New York City’s housing market is undergoing a powerful rebound, fueled by New Yorkers trading up, out-of-staters moving in, and others looking beyond the pandemic’s aftershocks to make a long-term bet on the city. On the flip side, Boise prices are up 25% year over...
Stocks plunge, what does this mean for real estate prices? What happened during the dotcom bust?
It has been quite the year for the stock market. As I am writing this blog, the market has already plunged 10% to kick off the year. Morgan Stanley just warned that stocks are more overvalued than the tech bubble. How will this impact real estate? What happened...
Inflation highest in 40 years, mortgage rates touch 4%
Inflation plowed ahead at its fastest 12-month pace in nearly 40 years during December, according to a closely watched gauge the Labor Department released Wednesday. The stock and bond markets are suddenly awake, with mortgage rates skyrocketing almost 4% from a low...
2022 Realtor predictions on interest rates & appreciation
The National Association of Realtors just released their 2022 housing market report. What are their predictions on mortgage rates, appreciation rates, rental rates, and location of purchases? There are a couple of surprises in the data that could radically alter...
Done with the pandemic toilet paper, Peloton plunges, what does this mean for real estate?
Wow, it has been a wild ride during this pandemic, who thought there would be a national run on toilet paper. Fortunately, those days are over. You can now readily pick up Charmin (or whatever you like). The market is also starting to witness this transformation...
2022 real estate predictions: Mortgage payments rise 50%.
I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season. Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2022 and beyond. Interest rates, inflation, and where the pandemic goes from here....
Refinance rates drop 31%, retail sales crushes estimates
I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season. Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2022 and beyond. Interest rates, inflation, and where the pandemic goes from here....
Investors purchase record number of homes, what does this mean for values?
Real estate investors spent a record $63.6 billion to purchase homes in the third quarter, up 78% from a year earlier, with an intense housing shortage fueling their returns, according to a Redfin report published on Monday. “Investors are expecting rents to increase...
Omicron impact on inflation and real estate
What a week it has been a new Covid variant has emerged while at the same time, the federal reserve announced they are retiring the word “transitory”. The stock market dropped and treasury yields increased. What does all the recent news mean for real estate? Will...
Government loan limits jump to almost 1m, impacting real estate
The federal government is about to back mortgages of nearly $1 million for the first time. The maximum size of home-mortgage loans eligible for backing by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is expected to jump sharply in 2022, a reflection of the rapid appreciation in home...
Fannie Mae predicts recession in 2023, and big changes to housing and interest rates
Fannie Mae, the largest buyer of mortgages in the US, just made some bold predictions about not only housing, but an upcoming recession. Their new predictions are a rapid departure from just a few months ago. What does Fannie Mae predict for the economy and housing?...
Real estate has reached an inflection point, 3 indicators that the peak has passed
As mortgage rates have easily breached 5% (last I checked they were at 5.25%), there is a drastic change in real estate that is just beginning to rear its head. At the same time inventory is starting to increase and loan volumes have plummeted. What is the big...
Interest rates soar; property prices continue to rise; Game of Musical chairs has stopped
The average time someone spends in a home has increased from 8.7 years in 2010 to over 13 years in 2020; a whopping 50% increase. How is this impacting house prices? What caused the “break” in the game of musical chairs leading to the inventory shortage? How are...
Fannie/Freddie no longer fund 2nd mortgages; Big changes to mortgage fees on borrowers
The federal housing finance agency (FHFA), the largest buyer of mortgages through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (Fannie/Freddie), announced huge changes to there fee structure. In particular they are targeting high cost loans with big jumps for second...
Used car prices predicted to drop 30%, when? Impact on economy and real estate
Who would have ever thought that used car prices would increase? A 10 year old car has appreciated 94% since the pandemic supply chain woes occurred. Unfortunately, what goes up will come down. When will the used car bubble pop? Why is the outcome of the auto...
Mortgage rates hit records, refi drops 60%, sales decline, 25% drop predicted
The swiftness of the changes in the real estate market are astonishing, yet not unexpected. I predicted last year mortgage rates would top 5% and they already have come close. This has led to a 60% drop in refinances and a sharp reduction in sales. What do these...
Shortage of homes will keep prices high… think again; Is there really a shortage?
I just saw an article on CNBC with the headline: America is short 5 million houses and the media is proclaiming a housing crisis throughout the country due to a historic shortage. Ironically at the same time the US has hit a record for the slowest population growth...
Zillow’s predictions in 2022 show house price surge of 25%, how accurate are there predictions?
According to Zillow, house prices will continue to skyrocket in 2022 with hot markets posting gains of 25% plus. What factors are driving these predictions? How accurate are Zillow's 2022 predictions for appreciation? How does Zillow’s estimates compare with the...
Buy now pay later included on credit reports, impact on real estate financing
Buy now pay later included on credit reports, impact on real estate financing Buy now Pay Later loans are a million-dollar industry and yet until now these loans were invisible to lenders. This is all changing as Equifax is now adding buy now pay later payments to...
Redfin plunges 26% in one day and foreshadows 4 trends shaping the 2022 and beyond real estate market.
Redfin plunges 26% in one day and foreshadows 4 trends shaping the 2022 and beyond real estate market. Redfin, the darling of the real estate market the last several years has plunged 45% over the last year. At the same time numerous analysists are downgrading the...
Ukraine invaded; impact on the economy, interest rates, and real estate
Initially when Ukraine was invaded the stock market dropped precipitously over 800 points during the day only to make a huge rebound into positive territory. What does this volatility mean for interest rates and in turn real estate? Does the invasion change the path...
Housing party coming to an end, what does this mean for values; the bears have awoken
Gary Shilling, the author of the Case-Shilling real estate index, accurately predicted the last real estate bust. He has come out with recent predictions that throw a cold towel on how this housing cycle ends. Are we at a bear market or a peak in real estate? Where...
Inflation roars to highest since 1982, mortgage rates jump above 4%, what does this mean for real estate
Inflation plowed ahead at its fastest 12-month pace in nearly 40 years during January and substantially higher than any estimates according to a closely watched gauge the Labor Department released Thursday (CPI). The stock and bond markets are continuing to awaken,...
83% of investors are worried about two items that will impact real estate
Wall Street investors believe inflation will remain a major roadblock for the markets in 2022 and stocks will only see muted returns, according to the new CNBC Delivering Alpha investor survey. What does this mean for interest rates and in turn real estate? What was...
NY and Boise real estate both hitting records, is a ???? brewing
New York City’s housing market is undergoing a powerful rebound, fueled by New Yorkers trading up, out-of-staters moving in, and others looking beyond the pandemic’s aftershocks to make a long-term bet on the city. On the flip side, Boise prices are up 25% year over...
Stocks plunge, what does this mean for real estate prices? What happened during the dotcom bust?
It has been quite the year for the stock market. As I am writing this blog, the market has already plunged 10% to kick off the year. Morgan Stanley just warned that stocks are more overvalued than the tech bubble. How will this impact real estate? What happened...
Inflation highest in 40 years, mortgage rates touch 4%
Inflation plowed ahead at its fastest 12-month pace in nearly 40 years during December, according to a closely watched gauge the Labor Department released Wednesday. The stock and bond markets are suddenly awake, with mortgage rates skyrocketing almost 4% from a low...
2022 Realtor predictions on interest rates & appreciation
The National Association of Realtors just released their 2022 housing market report. What are their predictions on mortgage rates, appreciation rates, rental rates, and location of purchases? There are a couple of surprises in the data that could radically alter...
Done with the pandemic toilet paper, Peloton plunges, what does this mean for real estate?
Wow, it has been a wild ride during this pandemic, who thought there would be a national run on toilet paper. Fortunately, those days are over. You can now readily pick up Charmin (or whatever you like). The market is also starting to witness this transformation...
2022 real estate predictions: Mortgage payments rise 50%.
I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season. Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2022 and beyond. Interest rates, inflation, and where the pandemic goes from here....
Refinance rates drop 31%, retail sales crushes estimates
I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season. Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2022 and beyond. Interest rates, inflation, and where the pandemic goes from here....
Investors purchase record number of homes, what does this mean for values?
Real estate investors spent a record $63.6 billion to purchase homes in the third quarter, up 78% from a year earlier, with an intense housing shortage fueling their returns, according to a Redfin report published on Monday. “Investors are expecting rents to increase...
Omicron impact on inflation and real estate
What a week it has been a new Covid variant has emerged while at the same time, the federal reserve announced they are retiring the word “transitory”. The stock market dropped and treasury yields increased. What does all the recent news mean for real estate? Will...
Government loan limits jump to almost 1m, impacting real estate
The federal government is about to back mortgages of nearly $1 million for the first time. The maximum size of home-mortgage loans eligible for backing by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is expected to jump sharply in 2022, a reflection of the rapid appreciation in home...