Hard Money Blog

President Biden’s national rental regulations announced

President Biden’s national rental regulations announced

States have traditionally set rental regulations including zoning, evictions, etc… but that is all set to change with the president’s new proposal.  The federal government will now be assuming many of the powers that were granted to the states. The biggest change is...

read more
Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

The big premise of the commission lawsuit against the national association of realtors is that high commission fees were one of the leading drivers of real estate prices.  How true is this statement?  Will the new commission structure for realtors lead to a reduction...

read more
Car loan defaults rise what does this mean for real estate

Car loan defaults rise what does this mean for real estate

According to everything I’ve read, the economy is humming along.  Economic growth is good, the labor market is healthy, and a soft landing is  all but inevitable.  At the same time lenders are acting polar opposite of what we should expect.  Why are lenders all the...

read more
Senate calls for Fed to lower rates; will the fed oblige?

Senate calls for Fed to lower rates; will the fed oblige?

  The market currently has a fixation on interest rates.  Senators are now jumping on the bandwagon pushing the federal reserve to “immediately” cut rates to help the real estate market and affordability.  Unfortunately, the senators do not fully grasp how...

read more
Clearest sign yet commercial real estate is in big trouble

Clearest sign yet commercial real estate is in big trouble

Foreclosures are surging in a risky corner of commercial real-estate finance, offering one of the most profound signs yet that turmoil in the commercial property market is just beginning.  Lenders this year have issued a record number of foreclosure notices for...

read more
Will mortgage rates fall significantly in 2024?

Will mortgage rates fall significantly in 2024?

When I was writing this article rates were hovering right around 7%.  At the same time economists are predicting a sharp decline in mortgage rates and a booming 2024 real estate market.  On the other hand, the chart above shows a much different picture.  Where do...

read more
Lock in effect thawing: more houses coming on the market

Lock in effect thawing: more houses coming on the market

There is a theory that locked in low mortgage rates will force owners to stay in their houses.  This has led to a huge shortage of inventory throughout the country.  Why is the “lock in effect” starting to wind down?  What does this mean for real estate prices over...

read more
Is inflation really coming down?

Is inflation really coming down?

We have heard a ton of good news recently regarding inflation.  Inflation has come down dramatically from its peak and the market is pricing in almost a 100% probability of an elusive soft landing.   Is inflation really coming down as fast as the consumer price index...

read more
Will real estate rebound in 2024?

Will real estate rebound in 2024?

Soft Landing base case, impact on real estate Every realtor newsletter I have received predicts an increase in sales and a great real estate market is 2024 due to lower mortgage rates.  Will this come to fruition?  Will we have a “soft landing” in 2024 and which will...

read more
What big risk to real estate is hiding in plain sight?

What big risk to real estate is hiding in plain sight?

Is there a new subprime crisis lurking?   10 years ago nightly rentals were a novel concept, fast forward to 2024 and the number of nightly rentals have surged 40%.  What does this huge increase in nightly rentals mean for real estate values?  Has the market...

read more
Why are house prices so high and will they stay high?

Why are house prices so high and will they stay high?

  Anytime you turn on the news  you hear about high house prices and that the culprit is that supply has not kept up with demand.  Is supply really the main culprit of housing prices or did something else that occurred during Covid radically alter the market? ...

read more
Realtor lawsuits, what happens now?

Realtor lawsuits, what happens now?

  There has been a ton of talk regarding the lawsuits against the National Association of realtors, but from a practical perspective what does this mean for the market? Will buyer’s agent commissions be eliminated?  One realtor association is not waiting for more...

read more
2023 and 2024 mortgage rate predictions

2023 and 2024 mortgage rate predictions

In a WSJ survey, economists lower recession probability below 50% and say Fed is finished raising interest rates It has been quite a ride for mortgage rates over the last two years.  As of this writing mortgage rates were around 7.5% (with no points) which is quite...

read more
CPI falls, Fed likely done raising

CPI falls, Fed likely done raising

  What does the recent CPI fall  mean for mortgage rates and real estate prices?   A broad slowdown in inflation continued in October, likely ending the Federal Reserve’s historic interest rate increases. The slowdown came below most median estimates and the...

read more
President Biden’s national rental regulations announced

President Biden’s national rental regulations announced

States have traditionally set rental regulations including zoning, evictions, etc… but that is all set to change with the president’s new proposal.  The federal government will now be assuming many of the powers that were granted to the states. The biggest change is...

read more
Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

The big premise of the commission lawsuit against the national association of realtors is that high commission fees were one of the leading drivers of real estate prices.  How true is this statement?  Will the new commission structure for realtors lead to a reduction...

read more
Car loan defaults rise what does this mean for real estate

Car loan defaults rise what does this mean for real estate

According to everything I’ve read, the economy is humming along.  Economic growth is good, the labor market is healthy, and a soft landing is  all but inevitable.  At the same time lenders are acting polar opposite of what we should expect.  Why are lenders all the...

read more
Senate calls for Fed to lower rates; will the fed oblige?

Senate calls for Fed to lower rates; will the fed oblige?

  The market currently has a fixation on interest rates.  Senators are now jumping on the bandwagon pushing the federal reserve to “immediately” cut rates to help the real estate market and affordability.  Unfortunately, the senators do not fully grasp how...

read more
Clearest sign yet commercial real estate is in big trouble

Clearest sign yet commercial real estate is in big trouble

Foreclosures are surging in a risky corner of commercial real-estate finance, offering one of the most profound signs yet that turmoil in the commercial property market is just beginning.  Lenders this year have issued a record number of foreclosure notices for...

read more
Will mortgage rates fall significantly in 2024?

Will mortgage rates fall significantly in 2024?

When I was writing this article rates were hovering right around 7%.  At the same time economists are predicting a sharp decline in mortgage rates and a booming 2024 real estate market.  On the other hand, the chart above shows a much different picture.  Where do...

read more
Lock in effect thawing: more houses coming on the market

Lock in effect thawing: more houses coming on the market

There is a theory that locked in low mortgage rates will force owners to stay in their houses.  This has led to a huge shortage of inventory throughout the country.  Why is the “lock in effect” starting to wind down?  What does this mean for real estate prices over...

read more
Is inflation really coming down?

Is inflation really coming down?

We have heard a ton of good news recently regarding inflation.  Inflation has come down dramatically from its peak and the market is pricing in almost a 100% probability of an elusive soft landing.   Is inflation really coming down as fast as the consumer price index...

read more
Will real estate rebound in 2024?

Will real estate rebound in 2024?

Soft Landing base case, impact on real estate Every realtor newsletter I have received predicts an increase in sales and a great real estate market is 2024 due to lower mortgage rates.  Will this come to fruition?  Will we have a “soft landing” in 2024 and which will...

read more
What big risk to real estate is hiding in plain sight?

What big risk to real estate is hiding in plain sight?

Is there a new subprime crisis lurking?   10 years ago nightly rentals were a novel concept, fast forward to 2024 and the number of nightly rentals have surged 40%.  What does this huge increase in nightly rentals mean for real estate values?  Has the market...

read more
Why are house prices so high and will they stay high?

Why are house prices so high and will they stay high?

  Anytime you turn on the news  you hear about high house prices and that the culprit is that supply has not kept up with demand.  Is supply really the main culprit of housing prices or did something else that occurred during Covid radically alter the market? ...

read more
Realtor lawsuits, what happens now?

Realtor lawsuits, what happens now?

  There has been a ton of talk regarding the lawsuits against the National Association of realtors, but from a practical perspective what does this mean for the market? Will buyer’s agent commissions be eliminated?  One realtor association is not waiting for more...

read more
2023 and 2024 mortgage rate predictions

2023 and 2024 mortgage rate predictions

In a WSJ survey, economists lower recession probability below 50% and say Fed is finished raising interest rates It has been quite a ride for mortgage rates over the last two years.  As of this writing mortgage rates were around 7.5% (with no points) which is quite...

read more
CPI falls, Fed likely done raising

CPI falls, Fed likely done raising

  What does the recent CPI fall  mean for mortgage rates and real estate prices?   A broad slowdown in inflation continued in October, likely ending the Federal Reserve’s historic interest rate increases. The slowdown came below most median estimates and the...

read more

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