Hard Money Blog

Will mortgage rates drop anymore in 24, how about 2025?

Will mortgage rates drop anymore in 24, how about 2025?

  When I was writing this article mortgage rates were hovering right around 7%.  At the same time economists had been predicting a sharp decline in mortgage rates and a booming 2024 real estate market as the fed has cut rates.  On the other hand, the chart above...

read more
Big real estate rebound for 2025?

Big real estate rebound for 2025?

The chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, Lawrence Yun, has released his 2025 and 2026 predictions for residential real estate and they were a huge surprise.  What is Yun predicting for real estate prices, interest rates, and appreciation?  How...

read more

Happy Thanksgiving 2024: year of the Bear

As everyone departs for the Thanksgiving holiday, I wanted to wish you safe travels and a happy holiday season.  Although it has been a challenging year for many in real estate due to much higher interest rates than anticipated and much lower sales volumes, there is...

read more
Is inflation now driving housing prices higher?

Is inflation now driving housing prices higher?

The conventional wisdom is that inflation causes higher interest rates which in turn causes lower housing prices.  We are now seeing an interesting phenomenon where housing prices continue to stay high and in some markets head even higher with interest rates double...

read more
Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Even with falling interest rates, inventory has quickly increased. We have gone from a supposed shortage of housing to an inventory surplus in many hot markets.  Home sales in July were at the lowest recorded level.  What is driving the increase in inventory?  Will...

read more
Federal reserve cuts rates, should you rejoice?

Federal reserve cuts rates, should you rejoice?

  The stock market went crazy after the half point cut by the federal reserve?  Should you rejoice like the stock market?  Take a look at the chart above showing all the recessions in the last 30 or so years.  Do you notice a trend?  What is the chart telling us...

read more
House prices falling in 11 markets, how accurate is the data?

House prices falling in 11 markets, how accurate is the data?

According to a new Realtor.com report, among America’s 50 biggest cities, 20 show annual price declines since last year, and the metro with the steepest drop might surprise you.  What markets are dropping the fastest and why?  How accurate is the data they are using? ...

read more
Phantom debt soars, what does this mean for real estate?

Phantom debt soars, what does this mean for real estate?

Consumer spending in the world’s largest economy has been so resilient in the face of stubbornly high inflation that economists and traders have had to repeatedly rip up their forecasts for slowing growth and interest-rate cuts.  Is Phantom Debt driving consumer...

read more
New plan for government to offer 25k to homebuyers

New plan for government to offer 25k to homebuyers

A new plan unveiled by candidate Harris aims to provide up to 25k to every first time homebuyer for a downpayment.  Like many of you when I heard the news, I did a double take.  What is in the plan?  Will the proposed plan increase or decrease house prices?  Who pays...

read more
New Senate bill penalizes investors buying houses

New Senate bill penalizes investors buying houses

Vice president Harris announced her support of a recently introduced  bill aimed at curtailing investor activity in the housing market that she says is driving up home prices. This new bill is one of the cornerstones of Harris’ housing policy.  The Stop Predatory...

read more
Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

With the realtor settlement now implemented nationwide, the question now is will a reduction in realtor fees lower house prices?  The big premise of the commission lawsuit against the national association of realtors is that high commission fees were one of the...

read more
Fed lowers rates, will mortgage rates rise?

Fed lowers rates, will mortgage rates rise?

  The million dollar question is where do interest rates head from here.  The Federal reserve has hinted at more upcoming cuts, what does this mean for mortgage rates?  Does the federal reserve actually control mortgage rates? How is the treasury department...

read more
Who is better for real estate Harris or Trump ?

Who is better for real estate Harris or Trump ?

  Wow, it is amazing how quickly tides have changed.  Look at the chart above of the betting market on the next presidential election right after the assassination attempt. Fast forward and another twist happened over the weekend with President Biden stepping...

read more
Will mortgage rates drop anymore in 24, how about 2025?

Will mortgage rates drop anymore in 24, how about 2025?

  When I was writing this article mortgage rates were hovering right around 7%.  At the same time economists had been predicting a sharp decline in mortgage rates and a booming 2024 real estate market as the fed has cut rates.  On the other hand, the chart above...

read more
Big real estate rebound for 2025?

Big real estate rebound for 2025?

The chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, Lawrence Yun, has released his 2025 and 2026 predictions for residential real estate and they were a huge surprise.  What is Yun predicting for real estate prices, interest rates, and appreciation?  How...

read more

Happy Thanksgiving 2024: year of the Bear

As everyone departs for the Thanksgiving holiday, I wanted to wish you safe travels and a happy holiday season.  Although it has been a challenging year for many in real estate due to much higher interest rates than anticipated and much lower sales volumes, there is...

read more
Is inflation now driving housing prices higher?

Is inflation now driving housing prices higher?

The conventional wisdom is that inflation causes higher interest rates which in turn causes lower housing prices.  We are now seeing an interesting phenomenon where housing prices continue to stay high and in some markets head even higher with interest rates double...

read more
Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Huge increases in inventory, what does this mean for prices?

Even with falling interest rates, inventory has quickly increased. We have gone from a supposed shortage of housing to an inventory surplus in many hot markets.  Home sales in July were at the lowest recorded level.  What is driving the increase in inventory?  Will...

read more
Federal reserve cuts rates, should you rejoice?

Federal reserve cuts rates, should you rejoice?

  The stock market went crazy after the half point cut by the federal reserve?  Should you rejoice like the stock market?  Take a look at the chart above showing all the recessions in the last 30 or so years.  Do you notice a trend?  What is the chart telling us...

read more
House prices falling in 11 markets, how accurate is the data?

House prices falling in 11 markets, how accurate is the data?

According to a new Realtor.com report, among America’s 50 biggest cities, 20 show annual price declines since last year, and the metro with the steepest drop might surprise you.  What markets are dropping the fastest and why?  How accurate is the data they are using? ...

read more
Phantom debt soars, what does this mean for real estate?

Phantom debt soars, what does this mean for real estate?

Consumer spending in the world’s largest economy has been so resilient in the face of stubbornly high inflation that economists and traders have had to repeatedly rip up their forecasts for slowing growth and interest-rate cuts.  Is Phantom Debt driving consumer...

read more
New plan for government to offer 25k to homebuyers

New plan for government to offer 25k to homebuyers

A new plan unveiled by candidate Harris aims to provide up to 25k to every first time homebuyer for a downpayment.  Like many of you when I heard the news, I did a double take.  What is in the plan?  Will the proposed plan increase or decrease house prices?  Who pays...

read more
New Senate bill penalizes investors buying houses

New Senate bill penalizes investors buying houses

Vice president Harris announced her support of a recently introduced  bill aimed at curtailing investor activity in the housing market that she says is driving up home prices. This new bill is one of the cornerstones of Harris’ housing policy.  The Stop Predatory...

read more
Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

Will realtors’ settlement lower home prices?

With the realtor settlement now implemented nationwide, the question now is will a reduction in realtor fees lower house prices?  The big premise of the commission lawsuit against the national association of realtors is that high commission fees were one of the...

read more
Fed lowers rates, will mortgage rates rise?

Fed lowers rates, will mortgage rates rise?

  The million dollar question is where do interest rates head from here.  The Federal reserve has hinted at more upcoming cuts, what does this mean for mortgage rates?  Does the federal reserve actually control mortgage rates? How is the treasury department...

read more
Who is better for real estate Harris or Trump ?

Who is better for real estate Harris or Trump ?

  Wow, it is amazing how quickly tides have changed.  Look at the chart above of the betting market on the next presidential election right after the assassination attempt. Fast forward and another twist happened over the weekend with President Biden stepping...

read more

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